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By: M

“much less one half as large as today’s” Technically, that would be “one half as large as the business as usual case in 2100″, I believe, and given that BAU usually has much more than doubling of GDP...

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By: thingsbreak

Oy. Need to fix that. Thanks.

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By: Alas, a blog » Blog Archive » Open Thread & Link Farm, Baleful Stare Edition

[...] climate change and what should be done about it. Manzi begins, then Plumer, then Manzi again, then Things Break, and finally Plumer [...]

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By: Alex

“Notoriously, DICE shows a warming of 20°C resulting in a loss of only 50% of global GDP” Sorry about bringing this up after so long, but is there a source for this claim? I can’t seem to find any...

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By: thingsbreak

I don’t know that it’s been explicitly stated in a journal article or similar. It was a criticism that has been made by several different prominent economists, and acknowledged by Nordhaus. I believe...

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By: Deliberate Anarchy As Climate Governance « Conflated Automatons

[...] are technical problems with Manzi’s argument: scenario choice is highly selective, and GDP is a lousy basis for century scale prediction. That latter post also suggests in an [...]

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